Satellites to Profile Weather, Improve Forecasts through GPS

On the Web: http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/news/02/pr0272.htm

August 20, 2002

BOULDER—A revolutionary, globe-spanning satellite network will furnish round-the-clock weather data, monitor climate change, and improve space weather forecasts by using signals from the Global Positioning System (GPS). Through atmosphere-induced changes in the radio signals, scientists will infer the state of the atmosphere above some 3,000 locations every 24 hours, including vast stretches of ocean inadequately profiled by current satellites and other tools. Nearly 100 scientists from over a dozen countries are meeting in Boulder on August 21-23 to help plan the use of data from this $100 million mission, which will begin operations in 2005.

Called COSMIC, the satellite network is now being developed through a U.S.-Taiwan partnership based on a system design provided by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, where the COSMIC Project Office is based. Taiwan's National Science Council and National SPace Organization (NSPO) and the U.S. National Science Foundation are providing primary support for COSMIC.

"The increased coverage will improve weather forecasts by providing data where there previously was none or not enough," says Ying-Hwa Kuo, project director for the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC), also called ROCSAT-3 in Taiwan. With six satellite receivers, COSMIC will collect a global, 3-D data set expected to improve analyses of both weather and climate change. By tracking temperature in the upper atmosphere up to 30 miles high, COSMIC could help clarify whether these regions are cooling due to heat-trapping greenhouse gases closer to the surface. Also, by tracking moisture in the bottom 12 miles of the atmosphere, COSMIC provides much-needed information on the three-dimensional distribution of atmospheric water vapor, which is crucial for accurate prediction of precipitating weather systems. COSMIC will also measure high-altitude electron density, potentially enhancing forecasts of ionospheric activity and "space weather."

COSMIC's satellites will probe the atmosphere using radio occultation, a technique developed in the 1960s to study other planets but more recently applied to Earth's atmosphere. Each satellite will intercept a GPS signal after it passes through (is occulted by) the atmosphere close to the horizon. Such a path brings the signal through a deep cross-section of the atmosphere. Variations in electron density, air density, temperature, and moisture bend the signal and change its speed. By measuring these shifts in the signal, scientists can determine the atmospheric conditions that produced them. The result: profiles along thousands of angled, pencil-like segments of atmosphere, each about 200 miles long and a few hundred feet wide.

Rather than replacing other observing systems, COSMIC will blend with them, filling in major gaps and enhancing computer forecast models. Many satellite-based products are like topographic maps that trace the contours of atmospheric elements in a given height range with high horizontal precision. COSMIC is more akin to a set of probes that drill through the depth of atmosphere with high vertical precision. Thus, says Kuo, "COSMIC will complement the existing and planned U.S. meteorological satellites."

Radiosondes (weather sensors launched by balloon) have obtained vertical profiles since the 1930s. However, they are launched only twice a day in most spots, and few are deployed over the ocean. In contrast, the COSMIC data will be collected continuously across the globe. The GPS radio signals can be picked up by the low-orbiting COSMIC receivers even through clouds, which are an obstacle for satellite-borne instruments that sense infrared rays of the spectrum.

UCAR and colleagues began exploring the use of GPS-based observing systems in 1995 with the successful launch of a test satellite. Several other systems have been launched by researchers in the U.S., Germany, and Argentina. All of these are research-based systems, with the data made available within days or weeks. COSMIC's data will be available within three hours of the observations, making them a potential boon to everyday forecast operations. The COSMIC Project Office will serve as a clearinghouse for research use of the data from COSMIC and other GPS-based systems by scientists in the United States, Taiwan, and elsewhere.

UCAR is overseeing ground-based facilities, satellite payloads, launch services, and data processing structures for COSMIC. Orbital Sciences Corporation is responsible for spacecraft design. The first spacecraft will be built at Orbital's facilities in Dulles, Virginia. The rest of the constellation will be built and tested in Taiwan, where the system's mission control will be based. NSPO and Taiwan industrial partners will join in satellite system development. Other collaborators include NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Air Force, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and Naval Research Laboratory.

• filename: constellation.tif (2.2 MB)
  
  This image shows the constellation of six COSMIC satellites in low Earth orbit, surrounded by satellites from the Global Positioning System whose signals COSMIC will use.
  Credit: COSMIC

• filename: combined.tif (1.7 MB)
  
  This image compares the current global coverage of instruments launched via radiosondes each day (in red) with the expected coverage from the COSMIC satellite network in a 24-hour period (in green).
  Credit: COSMIC

• filename: radiosonde.tif (2.1 MB, B&W)
  
  This image shows the current global coverage of instruments launched via radionsonde each day.
  Credit: COSMIC

• filename: occultation.tif (2.1 MB, B&W)
  
  This image shows the expected global coverage of soundings from the COSMIC satellite network in a 24-hour period.
  Credit: COSMIC